By Brandon McWaters
OCPA Intern
Recently many news outlets have been running multiple stories covering the financial issues facing Greece, and by extension, the rest of the European Union. At first, it may seem curious why this crisis has been headlining so many reports on both sides of the pond, particularly since America does not operate on the Euro as does much of the EU. However a closer look at the situation reveals why everyone, including Americans, should be concerned with what’s going on over in Europe.
This current bailout, slated for around $140 billion (109bn-euro), is actually the second of a two-part stimulus package from EU member nations to one of the worst economies in the western hemisphere, Greece. The Greek government has been failing economically for some time now, borrowing money it couldn’t pay back, spending funds it doesn’t have, living above its means, etc. All those poor financial practices hit Greece hard when, after years of experiencing tax evasion problems, the global market hit a severe downturn in 2008-2010. It received its first bailout in May of 2010 because it could no longer afford to borrow money and needed some time to catch up on its debt. The EU agreed on a temporary bailout to give Greece time to fix its problems and get back on track. Instead, the worst economy in Europe went further down, experiencing a 2011 deficit of 8.5% of their GDP and received the title of worst credit of any country monitored by S&P.
What this means to Americas is quite simple: If this new round of bailouts fails and Greece defaults on its debt, confidence in a nation’s debt, any nation’s debt, and their ability to pay it back plummets and that means a reduction in lender confidence internationally. There are many countries that are “exposed” to Grecian debt, which means their national banks hold part of the sum of what Greece owes. If they are not able to pay that money back, then there are multiple nations who will be short that money, including the US, which holds approximately $7.3bn in both bank/private lending and government exposure in Greek debt.
The main issue to consider isn’t even the large numbers associated with a Greek default, but rather the confidence issue that goes along with the possibility of the default. This is already affecting the US economy, particularly the banking industry, as Goldman Sachs has reported a $393 million loss for the third quarter of 2011, partially based on the uncertainty in the European markets. Analyst Todd Schoenberger, a managing director at Landcolt Trading said, "The underlying cancer on all these reports is Europe, all these banks have risk from Europe and that region will continue to have a negative impact."